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Nifty analysis - Welgro corner
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Author Nifty analysis - Welgro corner
welgro
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784

Post: #961   PostPosted: Wed May 13, 2015 6:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FII sold in Cash (Net sell 71.2 Crore)

FII sold in index future but bought in index option and in stock future (Net buy 338.28 Crore)

DII bought in Cash (Net buy 254 Crore)

FII’s sold 26314 contract of Index Future worth 649.40 cores,2069 Long contract were added by FII’s and 28383 short contracts were added by FII’s. Net Open Interest increased by 30452 contract.

Nifty Open Interest down by 9109 contracts, with increased in price,High volatile day today ,Most probability Risk free traders have squared off their positions. . (Today retail traders squared off their 17586 long contracts as well squared off their 29845 short contracts in index future )

FII bought 33053 contracts CE longs and 24355 Contracts CE were shorted by them.

FII bought 18588 contracts PE longs contracts and 5312 contracts PE were shorted by them.

FII's Net Open Interest increased by 81308 contract in index options.


Last edited by welgro on Wed May 13, 2015 7:11 pm; edited 1 time in total
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
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Post: #962   PostPosted: Wed May 13, 2015 6:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty spot hourly
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784

Post: #963   PostPosted: Thu May 14, 2015 6:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FII sold in Cash (Net sell 73.76 Crore)

FII sold in index future and index option but bought in stock future (Net sell 1921.76 Crore)

DII bought in Cash (Net buy 254 Crore)

FII’s sold 78067 contract of Index Future worth 1661.90 cores,19731 Long contract were squared off by FII’s and 58336 short contracts were added by FII’s. Net Open Interest increased by 38605 contract.

Nifty Open Interest up by 8595 contracts, with decreased in price,High volatile day today,Retail traders bought 62824 contracts [added 24038 long contracts and squared off their 38786 short contracts.]

FII squared off 12922 contracts CE longs and 16533 Contracts CE were shorted by them.

FII bought 3869 contracts PE longs contracts and 3253 contracts PE short contracts were squared off by them.

FII's Net Open Interest increased by 4227 contract in index options.
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
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Post: #964   PostPosted: Thu May 14, 2015 6:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Today nifty spot EOD chart formed "InsideBar + NR7 + pinbar " as per this trading setup Friday we may see big move in nifty spot.Nifty spot if trade and hold above 8240 (previous day high) try to test 8340 level (Last week high).perhaps tomorrow if close above 8360 we will get pivot point reversal setup as per weekly chart.
Another one important thing is nifty spot if cannot hold above 8240 then Expected "BULL TRAP".

At the same time nifty spot if breach 8135.... Blood Path target 7900....

What is NR7 and what is its significance in trading?
http://traderjamie.blogspot.in/2009/08/nr7.html


Trading Inside Bars
http://www.thestockgarage.com/inside-bars/
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
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Post: #965   PostPosted: Fri May 15, 2015 5:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FII sold in Cash (Net sell 38.31 Crore)

FII sold in index future but bought in index option stock future (Net buy 770.40 Crore)

DII bought in Cash (Net buy 563.60 Crore)

FII’s sold 4639 contract of Index Future worth 131.08 cores,6258 Long contract were added by FII’s and 10897 short contracts were added by FII’s.Net Open Interest increased by 17155 contract.

Nifty Open Interest up by 3243 contracts, with increased in price,Range Bound day (NR21 day ,Means very smallest trading range comparing last 1 month trades),Retail traders squared off 6454 long contracts and squared off their 18175 short contracts.

FII added 26296 contracts CE longs and 1499 Contracts CE were shorted by them.

FII squared off their 7662 contracts PE longs contracts and 5110 contracts PE short contracts were squared off by them.

FII's Net Open Interest increased by 15023 contract in index options.
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welgro
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Post: #966   PostPosted: Fri May 15, 2015 6:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty spot Hourly chart analysis :-

nifty spot hourly chart formed master candle setup.Nifty spot if breach 8280(Master candle Top) next important resistance is 8300 (Inv H&S pattern Neckline).Monday if close above this neckline,we may see some sharp short covering rally.

Perhaps if cannot sustain the resistance at the same time if breach 8200 level,aggressive trades will build fresh positional shorts.

NR21 day ,Means very smallest trading range comparing last 1 month trades.So Big move expected in next two trading sessions.Let's see..
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welgro
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Post: #967   PostPosted: Thu May 21, 2015 7:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty spot long term view :-

Nifty spot now struggling to cross -ve breakout trend-line.(Broadening wedge).

if breach and close above this -ve breakout trend-line,expected long term target 9800 level.

perhaps if can't sustain the resistance (-ve breakout trend-line) then downside expected target 7444 as-per Broadening wedge pattern.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Participant wise Trading Volume analysis :-

This week last 3 trading days Retail traders sold 76838 contract index future(Profit Booking) and FII's bought 69817 contract index future (short covering and long buildup)
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PS Trader
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Joined: 22 Sep 2013
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Post: #968   PostPosted: Thu May 21, 2015 9:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks Welgro for such useful trend line charts. Do it often. Very Happy
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Kirtikumar Ganatra
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Joined: 24 Apr 2015
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Post: #969   PostPosted: Thu May 21, 2015 2:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks Welgro.....well explained
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welgro
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Post: #970   PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2015 9:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

nifty weekly chart analysis :-

Nifty spot breach and close above the "Double doji pattern" resistance but still struggling to cross and hold above -ve breakout trendline.MAX OI in CE is still maintain 8500 level so nifty struggling that level.Max OI in CE if shift 8600 or above the strike we may see some short covering rally (DII's will start cover their shorts when nifty spot if hold above 8585 (Fibo Golden ratio in recent swing + some trap points )level.

Max Pain is 8400. so nifty have a good support at 8400 level.once if trade and hold below (Hourly) 8400 i am plan to take positional short.

Participant wise Trading Volume weekly analysis :-

Retail traders this week shorted 105494 contract index future.(Profit booking)
FII's this week bought 74784 contract index future.(short covering + long buildup )
Brokers this week bought 35772 contract index future.(short covering + long buildup)(4th MAY to 12th May they shorted 138099 contracts index future)
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welgro
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Post: #971   PostPosted: Sat May 23, 2015 10:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Banknifty spot positional short triggered @ 18440
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welgro
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Post: #972   PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2015 6:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FII bought in Cash (Net buy 74.14 Crore)

FII bought in index future and index option but sold stock future (Net buy 284.50 Crore)

DII bought in Cash (Net buy only 0.17 Crore)

FII’s bought 2159 contract of Index Future worth 167.26 cores,888 Long contract were added by FII’s and 1271 short contracts were squared off by FII’s.Net Open Interest decreased by 383 contract.

Nifty May2015 contract Open Interest down by 38012 contracts, with decreased in price,Positions Rollover %: 28.23 %. (Today Retail traders booked profit their 15039 index future long contracts.)

FII added 1466 contracts CE longs and 4650 Contracts CE were shorted by them.

FII added 10066 contracts PE longs contracts and 15475 contracts PE short contracts were squared off by them.

FII's Net Open Interest increased by 707 contract in index options.
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swamy@20
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Joined: 26 Mar 2012
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Post: #973   PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2015 6:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dear Welgro thank u for providing the details of trading by FII and DII. I shall be highly thankful to you if u could give ur comments for trading the next day
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
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Post: #974   PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2015 8:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

swamy@20 wrote:
Dear Welgro thank u for providing the details of trading by FII and DII. I shall be highly thankful to you if u could give ur comments for trading the next day


Today Nifty EOD chart forms "Major swing top reversal day" at important resistance trend line and MA Band.
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swamy@20
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Post: #975   PostPosted: Mon May 25, 2015 9:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks a Lot Welgro
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