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Market Sentiment
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Author Market Sentiment
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Post: #1141   PostPosted: Fri Jan 10, 2020 10:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 10th Jan 2020

Breadth continues to be very strong. Both medium term & long term oscillators showing strength. Long term oscillator nearing zero after a long time. If it can cross above zero and stay that way then it could be very positive for the market.

FYI : Long term oscillator dropped below zero (long term bearish) in Mar 2018, it went up and hit zero in May last wk / Jun 1st wk 2019 for 4-5 days and went back down.

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Post: #1142   PostPosted: Tue Jan 14, 2020 9:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 13th Jan 2020

Long term breadth about to hit & cross the zero barrier. This is happening after a long time. We could see a pullback / consolidation, but as long as LT breadth hovers around this level and does not fall back down below -40, we will be fine. LT breadth improving this well indicates many mid & small cap stocks rallying, which was long due.

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Post: #1143   PostPosted: Wed Jan 15, 2020 1:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 14th Jan 2020

Long term breadth oscillator has shot up above zero after a long time. It declined below zero in Mar 2018, it has taken almost 2 yrs for breadth to recover. Things are looking positive as of now. A pullback / consolidation could be a good buying opportunity as long as LT breadth holds above zero.

*** NO RECOMMENDATIONS HERE, EVERYTHING JUST FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ***

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Post: #1144   PostPosted: Fri Jan 24, 2020 9:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Market Breadth Oscillator as on 23rd Jan 2020

Just what I wanted to see. As market pulls back, short term breadth declining but long term breadth holding well above zero. Medium term breadth too is holding up but could decline if market continues down. If long term breadth continues to hold above zero through the market pullback we could see continued rally.

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Post: #1145   PostPosted: Sun Jan 26, 2020 9:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 24th Jan 2020

Look at the long term & medium term oscillators, they are moving up strongly as short term breadth declines. Very positive for medium-to-long term IMHO.

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Post: #1146   PostPosted: Sat Feb 01, 2020 3:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

important to see what your charts suggest after today's fall. I am expecting a very sharp rise now onwards but not sure at all.
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Post: #1147   PostPosted: Sun Feb 02, 2020 11:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sun08 wrote:
important to see what your charts suggest after today's fall. I am expecting a very sharp rise now onwards but not sure at all.


NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 1st FEB 2020

I am still quite comfortable with my bullish view. Both intermediate term (IT) and long term breadth (LT) are holding up well as short term breadth, understandably, declines fast below zero. Next few days will confirm this view if both LT & IT breadth hold above zero. LT will be the most important one, it should not decline below zero, IT could decline below zero if market keeps going down some more.

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Post: #1148   PostPosted: Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 20th FEB 2020

Long term breadth continues to remain comfortably above 0 thus maintaining bullish bias. Next couple of weeks are crucial. If LT breadth holds above 0 then we could see a good move up.

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Post: #1149   PostPosted: Sat Feb 22, 2020 11:03 am    Post subject: Udpate to index rolling returns charts Reply with quote

Here is an update to the index rolling returns chart I had posted in Jun 2019:

Below are rolling returns for NIFTY 500, Midcap & Smallcap indexes. All three indexes have recovered well since the last update due to mid & small stocks rallying recently. The pessimism has decreased recently but too much optimism is also absent, which is good. Mid & Small cap stocks could continue to outperform large caps in the near future.

Observations : Yearly rolling returns (green line) falling below Quarterly returns (red line) and either of these being near or below zero seems to indicate significant under performance and could lead to out performance once these indexes recover (which seems to have happened now). NIFTY500 rolling returns had gone below since mid 2018 and went down to -10% where as mid rolling returns fellow to -20% & small cap rolling returns fell to around -30% indicating great under performance. Now out performance seems to have started (vs large caps).

*** THERE ARE NOT RECOMMENDATIONS, THESE ARE JUST MY VIEWS AND COULD BE WRONG. TAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS AFTER CAREFUL STUDY / CONSIDERATION ***

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Post: #1150   PostPosted: Tue Feb 25, 2020 7:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 25th FEB 2020

Long term breadth hanging in there above zero as short & medium term oscillators race to the bottom. Keeping fingers crossed and expecting LT oscillator to hold above zero. This will keep the bias bullish.

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Post: #1151   PostPosted: Sun Mar 01, 2020 6:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Breadth Oscillator as of 28th FEB 2020

All bullish bias that was there is gone now, long term oscillator plunges below zero.

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Post: #1152   PostPosted: Sun Mar 01, 2020 6:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:
NSE Breadth Oscillator as of 28th FEB 2020

All bullish bias that was there is gone now, long term oscillator plunges below zero.


Hello sir,

Can we have these chart on weekly data please,

Regards,
Chetan Kumar.
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Post: #1153   PostPosted: Sun Mar 01, 2020 9:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

chetan83 wrote:


Hello sir,

Can we have these chart on weekly data please,

Regards,
Chetan Kumar.


I will have to build weekly data. Someone else also had asked about this. Let me see if I can build it. But I feel signals could get more delayed if weekly is used. Not sure though....have to check.

For daily I use 200, 50 & 13 SMA for long, medium & short term oscillators. For weekly if I use 40, 10 and 3 then the oscillators would be approx the same. Do you have any suggestions related to this or what would you like to see?

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Post: #1154   PostPosted: Sat Mar 14, 2020 10:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:
chetan83 wrote:


Hello sir,

Can we have these chart on weekly data please,

Regards,
Chetan Kumar.


I will have to build weekly data. Someone else also had asked about this. Let me see if I can build it. But I feel signals could get more delayed if weekly is used. Not sure though....have to check.

For daily I use 200, 50 & 13 SMA for long, medium & short term oscillators. For weekly if I use 40, 10 and 3 then the oscillators would be approx the same. Do you have any suggestions related to this or what would you like to see?


You are correct sir, above weekly parameters must hold good.
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Post: #1155   PostPosted: Sat Mar 14, 2020 10:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:
NSE Breadth Oscillator as of 28th FEB 2020

All bullish bias that was there is gone now, long term oscillator plunges below zero.


Dear Sir,

waiting for your update on breath oscillator.

regards,
Chetan.
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